形变,应变短临前兆标志体系的应用研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

薄万举  吴翼麟 《华南地震》1996,16(4):28-33

文献「３」中给出了标志体系的整体框架结构和各标志的内容，本文讨论标志体系的进一步应用问题。首先讨论了异常信息合成的几种形式，然后根据标志体系的特点，给出了前兆追踪分析的方案；最后将专家系统的有关理论瑟形变应变前兆标志体系相结合，给出了一个地震预报专家系统的逻辑结构。  相似文献   

首都圈年累积释放地震能量的拓扑预测     

乌统昱  张咏 《内陆地震》1996,10(2):155-160

拓补预测实际上是ＧＭ（１，１）模型群的预测。将首都圈年累积释放地震能量的统计结果作为建模的基本数据，建立相应的拓扑预测模型，对２０００年以前首都圈年累积释放地震能量的发展趋势作出初步预测。  相似文献   

和硕5.0级地震气体地球化学异常特征     

张学敏  张洪斌 《内陆地震》1996,10(3):269-275

１９９５年３月１９日，新疆和硕县那音克乡发生Ｍｓ５．０级地震。震前，乌鲁木齐地区地下水中溶解气体Ａｒ、ＣＨ４、ＣＯ２、Ｈ２Ｓ等和库尔勒地区的断层气Ｒｎ相继出现明显的异常。异常具有短期临震性质，主要表现为短期趋势升高，临震突跳。  相似文献   

The　relationships　between　earthquakes　and　positions　of　the　sun　and　moon（Ⅱ）——Sometemporalcharacteristicsoftheaftershocksequencesofstrongearthquakes     

高伟  刘蒲雄  许绍燮  彭克银  吕晓健 《地震学报(英文版)》1996,(3)

Ｔｈｅｒｅｌａｔｉｏｎｓｈｉｐｓｂｅｔｗｅｎｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓａｎｄｐｏｓｉｔｉｏｎｓｏｆｔｈｅｓｕｎａｎｄｍｏｏｎ（Ⅱ）——Ｓｏｍｅｔｅｍｐｏｒａｌｃｈａｒａｃｔｅｒｉｓｔｉｃｓｏｆｔｈｅａｆｔｅｒｓｈｏｃｋｓｅｑｕｅｎｃｅｓｏｆｓｔｒｏｎｇｅ...  相似文献   

郴桂地区中大比例尺成矿预测的方法与效果   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

曾昭健 《湖南地质》1996,15(4):221-226

郴桂地区是南岭多金属成矿带的重要地段，地质矿产工作研究程度较高，我院在此开展了大中比例尺成矿预测研究。本文扼要介绍了本区成矿预测的基本做法和预测方法，以及其主要成果和验证效果。  相似文献   

动态空区法在永登5.8级地震回顾性预报中的应用          下载免费PDF全文

毕秋菊 《地震工程学报》1996,18(3):30-36

研究了永登５．８级地震前地震活动异常特征，并应用秦保燕提出的地震动态空区的原理和地震频次起伏加剧，研究了１９９５年永登５．８级地震的孕震过程，对地震三要素进行了回顾性预报。结果表明，预测结果与实际地震发生的时间、强度和地点十分接近  相似文献   

Pore-water response on seasonal environmental changes in intertidal sediments of the Weser Estuary,Germany     

J. Sagemann  F. Skowronek  A. Dahmke  H. D. Schulz 《Environmental Geology》1996,27(4):362-369

In order to determine time-dependent changes in estuarine pore-water chemistry and flux variations across the sediment-water interface, sediment cores of an intertidal mud flat in the Weser Estuary were taken monthly over a one-year period. Sediment temperature, pH, Eh, Cl^–, O₂, NO ₃ ^– , and SO ₄ ^2– pore-water concentrations were measured and showed variations that relate to the changes of surface temperature and estuarine water composition. Fick's first law was applied to quantify diffusive fluxes from concentration gradients in the diffusive boundary layer and in the pore water. Total nitrate fluxes were calculated from flux chamber experiments. Diffusive oxygen fluxes increased from 5 mmol m^–2 d^–1 in winter to 18 mmol m^–2 d^–1 in early summer, while nitrate fluxes into the sediment increased from 3 mmol m^–2 d^–1 in winter to 60 mmol m^–2 d^–1 in early summer. Oxygen and nitrate fluxes into the sediment correlated linearly to sediment temperature. Sulfate fluxes increased from 0.5 mmol m^–2 d^–1 in winter to 10 mmol m^–2 d^–1 in August and September. Converted into carbon fluxes, the sum of these oxidants ranged from 10 mmol m^–2 d^–1 in winter to 80 mmol m^–2 d^–1 in summer. An estimation of the upper limit of the annual nitrate flux into the sediment showed that about 10% of the 250,000 t of nitrate discharged annually by the river may be decomposed within the inner Weser Estuary.  相似文献   

露天矿边坡实用型专家系统PESOPS V1.0的设计与应用   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

李彰明 《岩土力学》1996,17(4):48-55

结合边坡工程和岩质边坡普遍存在的问题，建造了一个露天矿边坡实用型专家系统ＰＥＳＯＰＳ Ｖ１．０。介绍了滑坡预报子系统的原理和方法，通过应用实例表明该子系统适用性强，预报可靠、使用方便。  相似文献   

Crustal transit time monitoring using PKP     

Max Wyss  R. Kind 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1983,121(2):269-285

The arrival time difference for the AB branch of PKP from deep Tonga earthquakes is constant over years with a standard deviation of ±0.05 seconds at seismographs located 10 to 50 km from each other. If published travel time curves are used to calculate the relative residuals of PKP the standard deviation from the constant mean is improved by approximately 0.01 seconds for AB branch data. For the BC branch, standard deviations of relative travel times of ±0.06 seconds are reduced to less than ±0.05 seconds by calculating relative residuals. We conclude that changes of crustal transit time forP-waves could be resolved, based on careful PKP arrival time measurement at two or more neighboring stations if the changes exceed 0.05 sec and last for more than one year. The conditions for achieving this result are that PKP from Tonga earthquakes is clearly recorded, and that time-keeping is accurate. The data on which these conclusions are based were obtained from the Graefenberg seismograph array, which is located in West Gemany and consists of 13 stations separated by distances of 10 km to 100 km. We propose that relative arrival times of PKP from Tonga could be used in the Mediterranean - Middle East area to search for precursory travel time changes before large earthquakes.  相似文献   

Hydrologic and geochemical properties of the San Andreas fault at the Stone Canyon well     

Donald J. Stierman  Alan E. Williams 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1984,122(2-4):403-424

The Stone Canyon well penetrates 600 m of highly fractured and severely altered quartz diorite intimately associated with the creeping segment of the San Andreas fault of central California. Geophysical logs reveal a complex hydrology dominated by major fractures. Fluid pressure in some fractures is sufficient to prevent invasion of the formation by heavy drilling mud, implying pore pressures at least 10% higher than hydrostatic ones. At least three chemically distinct waters are encountered, including a chloride brine clearly segregated from the shallow, potable groundwater. Chemical alteration of the quartz diorite persists throughout the well, far below the depth where the water-rock reactions responsible for the ubiquitous chlorite and mixed-layer clays can be considered weathering. Whole-rock ¹⁸O analyses indicate significant interaction of the rocks with a low ¹⁸O fluid within some of the fractured and altered zones, whereas a deeper sample shows¹⁸O enrichment. High pore pressures encountered in Stone Canyon may be due to tectonic compression. Measurements of temporal variations in the pore pressure at the well may provide a means of predicting earthquakes along this segment of the San Andreas fault.  相似文献